最愚不可及的交易

minji

大家看过了一些常见的交易错误, 大家一定要小心留意自己有没有犯了当中其中一样, 在作真实交易时要非常小心, 每个交易都要很谨慎, 对一些交易原则也要务必遵守, 让我再重新说明一次, 交易是一个概率游戏, 我们是要找一个长期胜算高的方法。 有时你可能不跟随这些原则下单, 也可能有不错的结果, 但长期的胜算才是致胜关键。

例如你过份下单, 赚了的话, 当然会赚多一点, 但这样做对大家并非很好的做法, 假如你看错了的话, 便很可能因为不想止损而不理性地坚持持有这个仓位, 最终的后果可能会很严重的。  

当中最愚不可及的错误莫过于在亏损时加仓, 以期望拉低入市平均价了。

这里让我引一段在 " Reminiscenses of a Stock Operator " 内的话来解释。

" It seems incredible that knowing the game as well as I did and with an experience of twelve or fourteen years of speculating in stocks and commodities I did precisely the wrong thing. The cotton showed me a loss and I kept it. The wheat showed me a porfit and I sold it out. It was an utterly foolish play,..........Of all speculative blunders there are few greater than trying to average a losing game............ Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit. That was so obviously the wise thing to do and was so well known to me that even now I marvel at myself for doing the reverse."


" 这简直难以置信, 我这么熟悉这个游戏, 又在股票及期货市场上有接近十四年的投机经验, 竟犯了这样的错误。棉花出现亏损, 我坚持持有。小麦有利润, 而我却平仓。 在所有的投机禁忌当中, 没有比在亏损时加仓更愚蠢的做法了。 这真是愚昧透顶 , ..........你总要平掉出现亏损的持仓, 而滚存有利润的交易。这显而易见才是明智之举, 直到现在我还搞不清到底我当时为什么会做反。"